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2025 TSport 200 Race Picks

2025 TSport 200 Race Picks

Date/Time: Friday July 25th, 2025. 8:00PM (EST)
Where: Lucas Oil Indianapolis Raceway Park
TV: FS1

For the first time in nearly a month, the Craftsman Truck Series will return to competition to kick off NASCAR’s weekend of racing festivities at Indianapolis. While Xfinity and Cup Series teams are preparing for high-speed competitive racing on the historic 2.5 mile oval at Indianapolis Motor Speedway (IMS) on Saturday and Sunday, the Craftsman Truck Series will kick things off on Friday by featuring short-track racing, about 8 miles northwest of IMS, at Lucas Oil Indianapolis Raceway Park with the running of the TSport 200!

As things currently stand, the Truck Series has produced 7 different winners this season led by Corey Heim who leads the series with 5 victories. Behind Heim, Chandler Smith is the only other full-time competitor to win multiple (2) races this season. Meanwhile, there are 5 additional drivers (Layne Riggs, Daniel Hemric, Tyler Ankrum, Rajah Caruth, and Stewart Friesen) that have also scored wins this season which means those drivers have locked themselves into the playoffs. With just 3 races remaining in the Truck Series’ regular season, there are still 3 playoff spots that are up for grabs. Interestingly, all former champions Ty Majeski (2024), Ben Rhodes (2023/2021), and Matt Crafton (2013/2014/2019) are among the drivers that have yet to seal their bid into the playoffs!

Luckily for the reigning series champion Ty Majeski, he has won the last two races at IRP in rather dominating fashion. Majeski has led nearly 60% of the overall laps at IRP over the last two seasons and is known as one of the best short-track talents in the entire series. Therefore, Majeski should have a great opportunity to lock-down his playoff chances as he goes for his 3rd straight win at IRP. With that said, Majeski has not exactly performed well in recent weeks which makes me believe he could be currently overvalued in terms of betting odds. Instead, I believe bettors should be paying attention to some additional drivers going into Friday’s Tsport 200!

IRP – Truck Notes

  • Ty Majeski has won the last two races at IRP.
  • Grant Enfinger (2021) is the only other active driver with a prior race win at IRP.
  • Layne Riggs has finished 7th, 3rd, and 5th in 3 career starts at IRP.
  • Enfinger has finished 1st, 12, and 3rd, in 3 career starts at IRP.
  • Corey Heim has finished 5th, 8th, and 17th in 3 career starts at IRP.
  • Tyler Ankrum has finished 6th or better in 2 of 3 career starts at IRP.
  • Matt Craftson has finished 9th or better in 2 of the last 3 starts at IRP.
  • Rajah Caruth has finished 7th and 8th in 2 career starts at IRP.
  • Ross Chastain’s only career start (2024) at IRP results in a 11th place finish.
  • Tanner Gray has finished 15th or worse in 3 career starts at IRP.
  • Corey Heim (130.7), Grant Enfinger (116.9), Chandler Smith (115.7), Tyler Ankrum (112.8), Layne Riggs (112.0), and Giovanni Ruggiero (101.8) were the only drivers with a +100 average driver rating at North Wilkesboro. *North Wilkesboro = most similar track to IRP on the current schedule
  • There have been 5 cautions or less in 5 of the last 6 races at IRP.
  • The eventual race winner has started inside the Top 5 in 18 of 20 all-time races at IRP.

Handicapping IRP

For anyone that is unaware, IRP is a small .686 oval that has a very flat racing surface that yields minimal grip to drivers. Drivers will be struggling to find rear grip throughout every lap at IRP and will also battle a lot of lap traffic. Therefore, drivers that are able to keep their Trucks on the edge of the tire limit (speed), without abusing the tires, should be the drivers that are able to stay at the front of the field. For comparisons, I believe IRP is closely compared to tracks like North Wilkesboro and New Hampshire. Therefore in handicapping IRP, we will not only look at prior performances at IRP but also look at other similar tracks to create our baseline of expectations going into Friday.

Betting Targets

Based on current betting odds, there is absolutely no value among the betting favorites which includes Ty Majeski, Corey Heim, and Layne Riggs. All 3 drivers are listed at less than 4-1 betting odds with both Heim and Majeski hovering at just over 2-1 odds. Personally, I think Riggs is just as live as the duo of Heim and Majeski going into the weekend. I believe Riggs has enough value to warrant betting consideration in singles and H2H formats. Meanwhile, Heim and Majeski may be only playable in parlay formats based on their saturated value. If I had to guess, I would expect Majeski’s value to get better because he has often qualifies deeper into the field compared to Heim and Majeski. Therefore if you want to gamble on a better number for Majeski, perhaps we wait until after practice and qualifying sessions on Friday.

While I believe the trio of betting favorites have a high likelihood of winning, Chandler Smith, Grant Enfinger, and Tyler Ankrum are among the trio of drivers with sufficient betting value to warrant consideration in all betting formats. Enfinger and Ankrum have shown strong performance trends at IRP and have also correlated those trends at other similar style short tracks. Meanwhile, Smith is among the drivers that always seems to fly under the radar at these short tracks but has a terrific skill set. Smith won earlier this year at North Wilkesboro and I would not be surprised if he contends at the front of the field again on Friday. While all 3 drivers have potential winning ceilings, I believe all drivers are likely most valuable in H2H formats. If you are looking for even deeper options, Rajah Caruth, Daniel Hemric, and Gio Ruggiero are among the names of drivers that have much higher ceilings than current betting odds suggest. If any of those drivers qualifies poorly, I would consider them for prop bet or fantasy formats.

2025 TSport 200 Race Picks

*FINAL*

Layne Riggs +450 (1.5 units)
Grant Enfinger +1600 (.5 unit)
Tyler Ankrum + 2200 (.5 unit)
Daniel Hemric +2500 (.5 unit)

H2H Match-Ups and Props

Ty Majeski -115 over Corey Heim (2 units)
Kaden Honeycutt -140 over Rajah Caruth (2 units)
Daniel Hemric +475 wins Group A (Smith, Chastain, Queen)(1 unit) *Bovada
Gio Ruggiero +275 wins Group C (Day, Crews, Gray)(1 unit) *Bovada

Two Team Parlay

Corey Heim +105 wins TSport 200
Tyler Reddick +450 finishes Top Toyota in Brickyard 400
Risking .75 unit to win: +760