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Topic: PHOENIX--CUP  (Read 739 times)

5mike5 March 14, 2017, 06:43:52 AM

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 :< alright everybody we are on the 2nd leg of nascars west coast swing this weekend @ Phoenix international raceway. The Xfinity series and the cup series will both  be in action this weekend again on Saturday and Sunday afternoon. This race has really been who can Beat Kevin Harvick as he will be a dominating odds on fav, or at least he has been in the past with odds of under +200 by racetime in the past, a Cup series record for the betting fav. Don't expect a whole lot more this weekend, but u probably shouldn't wait if u are betting him as he will be bet often and hard. Just my 2 cents.

Only other people that have been even close really is Kyle Busch who also is always a top 5 car, and last fall race winner Logano. I'm sure there will be value found outside of Harvick, but not sure how long any of it will last. Longshot s aren't really in play this week imo, but u never know.  Guess we will just have to wait and see when odds post tomorrow

GOODLUCK this weekend!!

 :shift


5mike5 March 14, 2017, 10:30:57 AM (#1)

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HARVICK has won 8  times in his career @ PIR,and won  4 of the last 6 races at PIR ( would be 5/6 without a late caution here a few races ago) and has an avgerage finishing position in that time of 1.7. He has lead almost 1,000 laps in that time also. We may see a little value in other drivers just depends if it's even gonna matter with Harvick being fast every single week to start the season after switching to ford. His odds will most likely be down right BRUTAL on openers but believe me they will only get worst fast and in a hurry, but maybe we will be surprised, but it would be the most shocking odds of the year if that happens. And I mean +450 would be amazingly good

Guess we shall see

Reigle9 March 14, 2017, 12:17:52 PM (#2)

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I expect the odds to continue being a joke.

Harvick +250
kyle +500
logano +500
Brad +800

5mike5 March 14, 2017, 06:41:22 PM (#3)

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If Larson opens at a good # be hard to pass up on too

Kid is just in the damn zone.

Kennseth may need a look here but JGR overall hasn't been very impressive so far imo

My only worry is that anybody outside top 3-4 guys probably has a decent chance to improve odds with top guys getting hammered. It didn't turn out that way last week really as top 5-7 drivers odds just kept getting worse on raceday and everybody else's we're staying the same

5mike5 March 14, 2017, 06:48:16 PM (#4)

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A bunch of guys did a few days of a tire test here last month a few weeks before daytona

Larson and logano looked amazing. Dale Jr was fast as well

If You guys want to check it out it's on micah Roberts website nascarnotes on right side of the page with other Phoenix info

kcburg March 14, 2017, 11:57:24 PM (#5)

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so weak may not even bet this week

5mike5 March 15, 2017, 08:00:53 AM (#6)

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Does mean much for offshore but Harvick opened at +250 at westgate in Vegas

Reigle9 March 15, 2017, 10:40:31 AM (#7)

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Does mean much for offshore but Harvick opened at +250 at westgate in Vegas
Are the odds online from there? I can't find them.

5mike5 March 15, 2017, 10:46:54 AM (#8)

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Does mean much for offshore but Harvick opened at +250 at westgate in Vegas
Are the odds online from there? I can't find them.

www.robertsnascarnotes.blogspot.com

Reigle9 March 15, 2017, 10:52:40 AM (#9)

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Does mean much for offshore but Harvick opened at +250 at westgate in Vegas
Are the odds online from there? I can't find them.

www.robertsnascarnotes.blogspot.com
I almost nailed those odds. Brad too high.

5mike5 March 15, 2017, 10:53:55 AM (#10)

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There is also all the times from the Goodyear tire test from phoenix last month as well

5mike5 March 15, 2017, 10:55:51 AM (#11)

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U sure did nail those close. Hopefully offshore is a bit better but who knows

I'd nail Larson at 12/1 I think

Reigle9 March 15, 2017, 11:01:25 AM (#12)

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Greek has it in the system. They have JJ listed 2nd, that can't be right. I'd add chase based on where they have him listed, guessing about 12/1. 

Optional March 15, 2017, 11:24:34 AM (#13)

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Reigle9 March 15, 2017, 11:36:03 AM (#14)

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not bad imo, last year dimes wouldve been .25-.50 cents better at the top tier but idk about this year

i'd take harvick, logano, and kyle at those odds cause neither is getting any better

    Kevin Harvick   +400

    Jimmie Johnson   +800

    Joey Logano   +800

    Kyle Busch   +800

    Brad Keselowski   +1200

    Denny Hamlin   +1200

    Martin Truex Jr   +1200

    Chase Elliott   +1200

    Kyle Larson   +1200

    Dale Earnhardt Jr   +1500

    Matt Kenseth   +1500

    Kurt Busch   +2000


also chase top 3 3/1