News:

Larson wins 2nd straight at Michigan! Next up: Sonoma

Topic: MICHIGAN-CUP  (Read 632 times)

5mike5 June 07, 2016, 04:16:42 PM

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
 :<alright fella's we are off to MICHIGAN this weeekend and we will also have all 3 series in action as well (trucks @texas).  My luck has gotta turn sinner or later and I need a big win. This is another racetrack where strategy can play to the race as well.  Pretty sure CUP cars will be racing new aero package this weekend as well and will have more info on that later and sure jay will.  As always everybody picks and options are always welcomed and encouraged.  I need all the help I can get in the slump im in.  I Do have a 3-slot parlay saved on last-leg for the weekend no idea what I'll do with it though


5mike5 June 08, 2016, 08:51:37 AM (#1)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
Brand bew aero package this weekend too

yisman June 08, 2016, 11:03:46 AM (#2)

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3301
    • View Profile
Sprint Cup   FireKeepers Casino 400
Fri 6/10  11:00AM
Kevin Harvick   
 +650
Jimmie Johnson   
 +775
Joey Logano   
 +775
Matt Kenseth   
 +775
Kyle Busch   
 +875
Brad Keselowski   
 +875
Carl Edwards   
 +875
Martin Truex Jr.   
 +875
Kurt Busch   
 +1350
Denny Hamlin   
 +1750
Dale Earnhardt Jr.   
 +2000
Chase Elliot   
 +2000
Kyle Larson   
 +2250
Kasey Kahne   
 +4400
Austin Dillon   
 +6600
Ryan Newman   
 +6600

5mike5 June 08, 2016, 11:23:23 AM (#3)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
they are way over valuing chase Elliot and the usual too many starting in single digits this week IMO

Like the pure value on  Dale Jr for 20-1 though

Optional June 08, 2016, 01:56:37 PM (#4)

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4338
    • View Profile
Toyota to bounce back after Kurt breaking their streak last week?

7 of last 9 to the Japs...

5mike5 June 08, 2016, 03:09:07 PM (#5)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
All I know is I'm doing something wrong or just having the worst luck so far this season ever.  Never been so bad in 10+ years of this. Started off great for the first month and it's been a bottomless pit ever since. I mean if nothing else than pure luck I've gotta win soon right??  Lol. I mean I have to admit that loss Sunday broke my determination.  As many hrs a week after week for what feels like months of handicapping and as much as I (think) know I'm just baffled. Sorry for the bitch fest there fellas

I might just put 1.00 on everybody down to biffle and up to say I won.  Nah Ill leave smoke off too :)

nascarwagers June 08, 2016, 03:43:03 PM (#6)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3080
    • View Profile
All I know is I'm doing something wrong or just having the worst luck so far this season ever.  Never been so bad in 10+ years of this. Started off great for the first month and it's been a bottomless pit ever since. I mean if nothing else than pure luck I've gotta win soon right??  Lol. I mean I have to admit that loss Sunday broke my determination.  As many hrs a week after week for what feels like months of handicapping and as much as I (think) know I'm just baffled. Sorry for the bitch fest there fellas

I might just put 1.00 on everybody down to biffle and up to say I won.  Nah Ill leave smoke off too :)

I am having a bad year as well. However, the good thing about NASCAR is that one big weekend can turn everything around

dapperandy June 08, 2016, 06:45:28 PM (#7)

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 346
    • View Profile
Took Jr 20-1 and Menard +105 over McMurray

5mike5 June 09, 2016, 01:49:28 AM (#8)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
This is also a racetrack when it comes to wins nobody has been dominating lately as in several wins in the last years it's mostly a bunch of 1 wins by different people. Watched the last few and wen with new aero package gonna make this a lot more wild of a race I think nobody has been real dominate.  But several has a few top 5a and alotmof top 10s so early bets guessing gonna off that and the value they bring. 

Really gonna try and use my parlay smartly this week and with both lower series gonna hopefully add another one or hell maybe 2 if I'm lucky.  Also gonna use parlay on a essays more often next few weeks matched with a h2h maybe like Jay does weekly and getting way better odds on a fav that way as well. Anyways just some thoughts there this is gonna be a rough week to cap a winner early especially and just going off value.

U will say I will be looking hard Logano.  Amazing he hasn't won a race and he has 4 top 10a in a row here 2 being top 5 with the 2nd best  driver rating last 4 rCes  here and did win here in 2013

5mike5 June 09, 2016, 01:51:56 AM (#9)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
STAT OF THE WEEK

Kevin harvick has 5...yes 5 2nd place finishes in the last 6 MICHIGAN races.  That's a freaking making stay and amazing string of finishes at any track.  Just amazing. Maybe never been done before. Lol.  Not sure I've seen a more amazing stay all year.   And S much as I HATE betting harvick almost any week he will also be on my parlay list and I will Definately be using him in a parlay of some kind because I'm not betting him at his low odds that will be a top 2-3 fav all week no matter what.  Just throwing that it there for u guys.  So he and Logano are my EARLY thoughts on the parlay front as already have 1 on last leg and it's a 3- slot that would pay amazing even on the race fav and hoping to add a few more, if not will just bet he or Logano with a h2h or something on raceday.  H2h open parlays on zfinity have been really good for me on 3-slots leaving last open for CUP even though haven't won one in a while it still saves alot of  money just like last week

And ps.  The 1 race here @ Michigan in the past 6 Cup races harvick did NOT finish in the runner-up Piaition was due to car trouble and didn't even race half the laps. 

5mike5 June 09, 2016, 01:57:54 AM (#10)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
Dale JR @ +2000

Only early play so far will update if md when did others as usual

Reigle9 June 09, 2016, 07:53:26 AM (#11)

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2834
    • View Profile
Took Harvick and Logano on openers.

5mike5 June 09, 2016, 08:34:45 AM (#12)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
Took Harvick and Logano on openers.

Unless something crazy happens as I posted I will have both of ur opening plays as well just using hem on parlays to win. Scary for u we are on same page early.  Lol.  Just kiddin I'm done crying around about being off for months and I'm going for a god damn I've Winn this weekend and been up all damn night with my nose in my notebooks even though practices might mean more than usual even to me with a brand new aero package his weekend.  Never know if a team might pop up and look really really great.  As truex did at Charlotte and my stubborn ass and because of who it was ignored it.  As much as practices and qualifying can be very very meaningless sometimes and actually more than usual this season it has meant more than I've ever seen.  I always thing long run speed is most important and has always had meaning but that's it usually

nascarwagers June 09, 2016, 03:09:32 PM (#13)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3080
    • View Profile
I have not seen this posted yet so wanted to share.. pretty impressive for a "rookie"

"#24-Chase Elliott is on a top-10 tear, earning one in each of the past five NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races. Only two drivers in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series have more top-10 finishes than Elliott's 10 (Kevin Harvick with 11 and Kurt Busch with 12 -- both Sprint Cup champions). Additionally, in the non-points-paying NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race, Elliott raced his way to a sixth-place finish.(Hendrick Motorsports)(6-8-2016)"

5mike5 June 09, 2016, 03:38:18 PM (#14)

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12785
    • View Profile
^ I would have never guessed that without that info actually and is very impressive. 

When is the last time a rookie stepped into a ride and team like the #24 though too.