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Truex wins Championship! Thanks everyone for a great year!

Topic: MARTINSVILLE--5mike5  (Read 1327 times)

5mike5 March 24, 2015, 04:17:08 PM

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Alright fellas we are off to Martinsville this week for a whole weekend of racing @ the paper clip.  Will be a totally different animal this weekend with the bumpers getting put to test lap after lap.  I Mean from watching the last few races and going over the notes the same people are always great here and some are just always bad. 

As always everybodys picks as opinions are welcomed and appreciated. Last weekend was a crazy ads finish and was a bust for me but several guys hit the monster longshot of bl winning at his worst racetrack!

GOODLUCK this week

 :shift


milehigh March 24, 2015, 06:48:53 PM (#1)

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Coming out of the shadows for the first time this year.  I've had a great run so far riding top 10 prop bets with Ryan Newman, including hitting a 4 team parlay with him last weekend.  I also snagged Kurt Busch early with my local bookie at 18-1, so needless to say I was pissed at the "debris" with 2 laps to go.

Until Busch ISN'T contending for wins, I'm riding him.  +1650 was a good value for openers so I took him.  I also love Kenseth at +2250 as he led a ton of laps to a 2nd place finish 2 years ago and was in the mix both races last year.  He'll also be motivated after the end of the race last weekend.

 I don't see these guys being this high on race day...

nascarwagers March 24, 2015, 07:39:58 PM (#2)

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Coming out of the shadows for the first time this year.  I've had a great run so far riding top 10 prop bets with Ryan Newman, including hitting a 4 team parlay with him last weekend.  I also snagged Kurt Busch early with my local bookie at 18-1, so needless to say I was pissed at the "debris" with 2 laps to go.

Until Busch ISN'T contending for wins, I'm riding him.  +1650 was a good value for openers so I took him.  I also love Kenseth at +2250 as he led a ton of laps to a 2nd place finish 2 years ago and was in the mix both races last year.  He'll also be motivated after the end of the race last weekend.

 I don't see these guys being this high on race day...

Good to see you bud  :cheers

Vegas March 24, 2015, 11:47:51 PM (#3)

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Thing I worry about as far as Kurt is last 2 weeks they have mirrored 4 car setup. Not best of tracks for Harvick. Maybe they figure it out as in that insane zone.

nascarwagers March 25, 2015, 01:30:11 AM (#4)

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Newsletter went out a few minutes ago, for anyone that missed it. Took Kurt Busch +500 for a top 3 finish. I liked his odds a little more as a top 3 finish than I did as a winner at this point.

nascarwagers March 25, 2015, 01:31:50 AM (#5)

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Hendrick drivers have won 4 of the last 5 races while Chevrolet drivers have won 8 straight. As noted in the newsletter, I do not think that is manufacturer dependent. I think that more directly relates to the guys that do really well here are in Chevrolets (Gordon, Johnson, Earnhardt)

nascarwagers March 25, 2015, 01:33:43 AM (#6)

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GoodYear Tire Notes:

Set limits:
Sprint Cup: 5 sets for practice/qualifying and 10 sets for the race;
Camping World Truck: 7 sets for the event

Tire Codes:
Left-side -- D-4588; Right-side -- D-4468

Tire Circumference:
Left-side -- 87.44 in. (2,221 mm);
Right-side -- 88.70 in. (2,253 mm)

Minimum Recommended Inflation:
Left Front -- 10 psi; Left Rear -- 10 psi;
Right Front -- 23 psi; Right Rear -- 22 psi

Notes: Teams in both the NASCAR Sprint Cup and Camping World Truck Series will run the same Goodyear tire codes at Martinsville this weekend . . . this is the same combination of left- and right-side tires that these teams ran at this track last October . . . Martinsville is the only track where NASCAR teams are scheduled to run either of these two tire codes . . . as on most NASCAR ovals one mile or less in length, teams will not run inner liners in their tires at Martinsville.

420 Octane March 25, 2015, 02:11:06 AM (#7)

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Kurt Busch +1600   (1 unit)

Clint Bowyer +2400  (1 unit)

nascarwagers March 25, 2015, 04:19:07 PM (#8)

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In case anyone missed it, JD Gibbs undergoing treatment for symptoms impacting brain function.

JD Gibbs

5mike5 March 26, 2015, 08:28:41 AM (#9)

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Sure I probavly will parlay  1 of the JJ or #24 favs on raceday but NO value bwtting those guys single this week.  (Imo)

Also like Dale JR but waiting hoping his odds get better because his qualifying here over last 4 races is worst than 20th avg and not 1 good showing.


I did like the same value  off  openers  on KURT Busch  (+1600, didn't get the +1650 but still took it)  here though

 and longshot Ryan Newman(can't believe I said that) I took this morning @ +3000 just for a guy that won't effect my roster #s at those odds but he is good here and figured he's a good as longshot as any even though my faith in him winning races is never high

Also agree with newsletter harvick will be a fade for me this week.   bot one  of his better racetracks with 1 win in 27 starts.  And he only lead 6 laps in that 500 lap event and it was end of the race fuel startegy mostly others running out. 

5mike5 March 26, 2015, 10:02:35 AM (#10)

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PLEASE take my advice here.

aLOT of these odds will be getting several to alot odds points better.  Of course depends on sessions cause books overreact as always ( how useful were those last week. Lol!  Jk but seriously googans will HAMMER JJ, harvick from recent success, GORDON, ect here late on raceday which will driver prices to get a lot better on ALOT guys and history proves that year after year here.

That's 1 reason I'm waiting on Dale jr who is 1 guy I MIGJT look at later in the week.  Especially with his qualifying efforts at this racetrack

rs1x March 26, 2015, 11:35:53 AM (#11)

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PLEASE take my advice here.

aLOT of these odds will be getting several to alot odds points better.  Of course depends on sessions cause books overreact as always ( how useful were those last week. Lol!  Jk but seriously googans will HAMMER JJ, harvick from recent success, GORDON, ect here late on raceday which will driver prices to get a lot better on ALOT guys and history proves that year after year here.

That's 1 reason I'm waiting on Dale jr who is 1 guy I MIGJT look at later in the week.  Especially with his qualifying efforts at this racetrack

Mike - Thanks for the heads up. 

5mike5 March 26, 2015, 12:38:50 PM (#12)

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PLEASE take my advice here.

aLOT of these odds will be getting several to alot odds points better.  Of course depends on sessions cause books overreact as always ( how useful were those last week. Lol!  Jk but seriously googans will HAMMER JJ, harvick from recent success, GORDON, ect here late on raceday which will driver prices to get a lot better on ALOT guys and history proves that year after year here.

That's 1 reason I'm waiting on Dale jr who is 1 guy I MIGJT look at later in the week.  Especially with his qualifying efforts at this racetrack

Mike - Thanks for the heads up.

NP was just a note from my botebooka for martinsville.  And when U think about it makes perfect sense especially at a specialist racetrack the paperclip. oncourse there also be a few that practice and/ or qualify well where the odds won't be as good od course.  But IF U like guys like Earnhardt eho qualifies BAD here but always is up front bear mid race is 1 guy if history holds up but who knows. Lol


Most overrated odds even though he has been very good here but that was years and years ago since he has WON the race is DENNY Hamlin at a BAD price imo @ +800 right now unless he kills the sessions on fri/sat. 

nascarwagers March 26, 2015, 03:17:15 PM (#13)

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PLEASE take my advice here.

aLOT of these odds will be getting several to alot odds points better.  Of course depends on sessions cause books overreact as always ( how useful were those last week. Lol!  Jk but seriously googans will HAMMER JJ, harvick from recent success, GORDON, ect here late on raceday which will driver prices to get a lot better on ALOT guys and history proves that year after year here.

That's 1 reason I'm waiting on Dale jr who is 1 guy I MIGJT look at later in the week.  Especially with his qualifying efforts at this racetrack

Great advice!

I was also thinking of taking JR early but know he does not qualify that well here either. Nor does he usually tear up the speed charts. I expect him to get better also

nascarwagers March 26, 2015, 03:28:10 PM (#14)

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PLEASE take my advice here.

aLOT of these odds will be getting several to alot odds points better.  Of course depends on sessions cause books overreact as always ( how useful were those last week. Lol!  Jk but seriously googans will HAMMER JJ, harvick from recent success, GORDON, ect here late on raceday which will driver prices to get a lot better on ALOT guys and history proves that year after year here.

That's 1 reason I'm waiting on Dale jr who is 1 guy I MIGJT look at later in the week.  Especially with his qualifying efforts at this racetrack

Mike - Thanks for the heads up.

NP was just a note from my botebooka for martinsville.  And when U think about it makes perfect sense especially at a specialist racetrack the paperclip. oncourse there also be a few that practice and/ or qualify well where the odds won't be as good od course.  But IF U like guys like Earnhardt eho qualifies BAD here but always is up front bear mid race is 1 guy if history holds up but who knows. Lol


Most overrated odds even though he has been very good here but that was years and years ago since he has WON the race is DENNY Hamlin at a BAD price imo @ +800 right now unless he kills the sessions on fri/sat.

Hamlin won 3 in a row back from the fall of 09 through 2010. I have always thought that was more of JGR clicking on their short track program during those years. Even Kyle Busch was running strong in those years and Martinsville is one of his worse tracks. Don't get me wrong, I am not saying Hamlin is not a great driver here. He is definitely better than most. I just do not hold those 4 wins as high as I probably should for those reasons.

Is that how you see it @5mike5 ?